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Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: NFL sleepers, breakouts, busts by model that predicted Samuel's down year – CBS Sports

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The NFL schedule will be released in May, but with rosters taking shape after the NFL Draft and NFL free agency, owners are hard at work beginning their 2024 Fantasy football draft prep. San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey has been one of the most versatile offensive weapons since entering the league in 2017. He’s proving that all over again with the 49ers after battling injury issues during the end of his time with the Panthers. Since being traded to San Francisco, McCaffrey has piled up 3,233 scrimmage yards, scored 31 touchdowns in 27 games, and is the runaway favorite to top the 2024 Fantasy football RB rankings. If you don’t have the No. 1 pick or can’t keep McCaffrey, who else should you target in 2024 Fantasy football keeper rankings and 2024 Fantasy football dynasty rankings?
With a reliable set of live-updated 2024 Fantasy football rankings, you can identify potential 2024 Fantasy football sleepers, 2024 Fantasy football breakouts and 2024 Fantasy football busts to ensure that you’re getting maximum value out of all of your 2024 Fantasy football picks. Before setting your 2024 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Buccaneers wide receiver Rachaad White was being dramatically undervalued. White was coming off the board in the seventh round on average in 12-team PPR leagues, but he emerged as Tampa Bay’s workhorse running back and provided significantly more value than expected, finishing No. 4 at his position. White rushed for 990 yards and six touchdowns while adding 64 catches for 549 yards and three more scores as a receiver. Anybody who followed the model’s advice scored an every week starting running back in the middle rounds.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor’s monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them
One of the 2024 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Chargers running back J.K. Dobbins. Despite battling injuries over his first two seasons, Dobbins produced 1,487 scrimmage yards and 12 total touchdowns on 251 touches and averaged a staggering 5.9 yards per attempt. Unfortunately, the injury bug bit him again in 2023, as he only played in one game before a torn Achilles ended his season.
However, the fact remains that Dobbins remains one of the most productive backs in the NFL on a per-touch basis and he’ll have a new opportunity to lead a backfield with the Los Angeles Chargers in 2024. The model ranks him as a top-20 running back for the upcoming season. See more Fantasy football sleepers 2024 here.
The model is also projecting Bears quarterback Caleb Williams as one of its 2024 Fantasy football breakouts. The No. 1 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft is the 17th quarterback coming off the board according to early Fantasy football ADP data but the rookie is widely regarded as one of the best quarterback prospects of the last decade and he’s walking into a great position as a rookie in Chicago.
The Bears are coming off a 7-10 season where they won five of their last eight games and they made big moves all offseason to ensure that Williams would be surrounded by dynamic skill-position talent. D.J. Moore and Cole Kmet are both back after career years and they added Keenan Allen via trade, Rome Odunze during the NFL draft and D’Andre Swift in free agency. That’s a big reason why the model ranks Williams as its No. 13 Fantasy football quarterback, ranking him ahead of Trevor Lawrence and Tua TagovailoaSee more Fantasy football breakouts 2024 here.
As for players to avoid, the model lists Bears wide receiver Keenan Allen as one of its 2024 Fantasy football busts. After years of struggling offensively, it’s hard for Bears fans to wrap their heads around the embarrassment of riches they have offensively, but that’s the position they find themselves in. No. 1 overall pick Caleb Williams will have Allen, D.J. Moore, rookie Rome Odunze, Cole Kmet and D’Andre Swift at his disposal in what could be a dynamic Chicago offense.
Allen is still at the top of his game, evidenced by his 108 catches for 1,243 yards and seven touchdowns over 13 games last season. However, there will only be so many targets to go around and he could find himself as the odd man out in certain situations. He’s in the last year of his contract, prefers working out of the slot, and Bears offensive coordinator Shane Waldron has a long history of utilizing two tight end sets. Those are all big reasons why the model ranks Allen as WR19 after he finished as WR8 in 2023. See more Fantasy football busts 2024 here
SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising quarterback you aren’t even thinking about being taken in the middle rounds of 2024 Fantasy football drafts. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top-10 option ahead of stars like Trevor Lawrence and Aaron RodgersYou can only see who it is, and the 2023 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2024 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade, and which QB shocks the NFL with a top-10 performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that nailed Deebo Samuel as a bust last year, and find out.
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