Paraguay vs. Brazil 6/28/24 – The stage is set for an intriguing Copa America clash as Paraguay meets Brazil on Friday, June 28, 2024, at Allegiant Stadium. Paraguay, currently 4th in Group D, looks to overturn their lackluster start to the tournament, while Brazil, sitting comfortably at the top of the group, aims to extend their dominance. This matchup, brimming with historical context and recent form, is a critical fixture for soccer enthusiasts and bettors alike, offering free Copa America picks and parlays.
Paraguay looks pretty weak in the offensive part in the recent matches; the team only scores 1 goal per match in an average of their last five games. Prominent talents such as Andrés Cubas as well as Matías Espinoza have not scored in this tournament suggesting symptoms of Brazil’s robust defense line; they have allowed an average of only 0. 5 games ago the team was scoring an average of 6 goals in every match. Currently, the Brazilian defense seems to be in good form especially Éder Militão who should contain Paraguay’s almost negligible attacking prowess.
On the other side, Brazil’s attacking line with Rodrygo and Paquetá who are yet to score a goal in this competition, has displayed the signs of their willingness to make a goal-scoring attempt during their previous match where they took a total of eleven shots. This attacking potency is an obvious danger to Paraguay’s backline that has been allowing a goal on average to their opponents. An average of 8 goals per game. Domination of chances created by Brazil will be decisive because Paraguay has a strong defender in the person of goalkeeper Rodrigo Morinigo proved useful in making tactical saves.
In this Paraguay’s Rodrigo Morínigo avowed to be a good goalie despite the sorry situation in the back line of the team. His performance could very well be the antic in case Paraguay is to stand a chance against Brazil’s mighty forwards. Morínigo shall be forced to repeat the same test of efficacy in Paraguay so as to compete with a relatively more menacing Brazilian side off the field.
On the other hand Alisson Becker of Brazil arrives at this game with lower pressure as she trained well and was able to keep a clean score in the previous match. Experience and ability to remain focused during pressure will be very important in preventing the Paraguay team from executing a successful surprise on the Brazilian defense. In the recent matches of Brazil, the team has been quite solid defensively and hence Alisson does not have to perform many saves but he will have to be awake in action sometimes for any loose balls.
The betting odds favor Brazil heavily with a moneyline of -310 and a spread of -1.5 at -110, reflecting their stronger squad and recent performances. The total of 2.5 with under at -130 suggests expectations of a tight, low-scoring game, likely dominated by Brazil’s more controlled play and solid defense.
Paraguay’s recent form doesn’t inspire much confidence, having not secured a win against Brazil in their last five meetings. Their home performance has been particularly lackluster, with only a 20% win rate. These trends suggest a significant challenge for Paraguay as they face a top-tier Brazil team in what is essentially a must-win game to revive their campaign.
Brazil’s impressive track record, winning 70% of their away matches and four out of the last five games against Paraguay, positions them as the clear favorites. Their ability to score an average of 2.4 goals per match against teams like Paraguay, who have been defensively leaky, underscores their potential to cover the spread comfortably.
Based on the comprehensive analysis of both teams’ recent forms and historical performances, Brazil appears to be in a much stronger position to secure another victory. Their offensive capability, coupled with a robust defense, should enable them to manage the game’s tempo and secure a win with relative ease.
For those looking into betting angles, Brazil covering the spread seems plausible, given their scoring record and defensive solidity. The under on total goals might also be a safe bet, considering the expected controlled approach by Brazil and Paraguay’s scoring struggles. The game might not feature high scoring, but Brazil’s quality should prevail.
This predicted scoreline reflects the balance of power between the two teams and the expected dynamics of the match. For premium top picks, keep an eye on Brazil to cover the spread and consider the under on total goals as a prudent bet in what should be a strategically managed game by the tournament favorites.
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