2024 NFL Strength Of Schedule, Regular Season – Sharp Football Analysis

With odds released for all 32 NFL teams, we are now able to calculate NFL Strength of Schedule using projected win totals from Vegas oddsmakers.
Based on projected win totals, the Atlanta Falcons have the easiest strength of schedule for the 2024 NFL season.
NFL teams with the easiest schedules in 2024:
Based on projected win totals, the Pittsburgh Steelers have the hardest strength of schedule for the 2024 NFL season.
NFL teams with the hardest schedules in 2024:
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We’ve ranked the 2024 schedule for every NFL team from easiest (#1) to hardest (#32), plus current betting odds and implied win totals for every NFL team.
While there are not any perfect strength of schedule metrics, using 2024 Vegas win totals is much better than most widely used metrics that incorporate the previous season’s record.
Here is a visual breakdown of 2024 NFL strength of schedule rankings for each NFL team, based on Vegas win totals.

How accurate is Warren Sharp’s model for determining strength of schedule?
Looking at last season’s strength of schedule model:
Are strength of schedule projections accurate? 
Short answer: YES
Is strength of schedule important?
Trying to overachieve against a brutal schedule rarely happens (4 out of 17 in 2023).
Likewise, winning against an easy schedule and overachieving compared to expectations happens often (9 out of 15 in 2023).
Looking at actual strength of schedule team ranks from last season (2023) versus the projected 2024 strength of schedule, we can see which team schedules have improved or worsened year over year.
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